Congestion pricing — the case file

Example · read only

A Panel research case: claims from four panel runs, filed into sections by their owner. Every finding links to its source. Every objection is on the record.

Congestion pricing — the case file

9 claims · 3 held · 4 contested · 2 untested · 2 open

From 4 runs: Does congestion pricing actually reduce traffic in the cordon? (7) · Is congestion pricing regressive for low-income commuters? (7) · What happened to transit ridership after London and Stockholm? (5) · What makes a congestion charge survive its first election? (3)

3 claims: 1 held · 1 contested · 1 untested

  • Cordon traffic falls, and stays down

1 dispute · 1 untested

What stands

Cordon traffic falls, and stays down 1,2

But:Falling inside the cordon is not the same as falling

Answered:Boundary roads were measured, and did not absorb it 1

Under dispute

Journey times improve less than volumes suggest 1

contested

But:Reallocation and induced demand are not separated

Not yet tested

Manchester reported a 30% drop in its first quarter 1

untested

2 claims: 1 held · 1 contested · 1 open

  • The charge alone is regressive

1 dispute · 1 open

What stands

The charge alone is regressive 1

But:The charge is not the policy

Answered:True, but only where the money is actually ring-fenced 1

Under dispute

Exemptions undo more of the effect than expected 1

contested

But:The 40% figure is not in any source given

Open

Nothing found on off-peak shift workers

2 claims: 1 held · 1 contested · 1 open

  • Bus ridership rises immediately

1 dispute · 1 open

What stands

Bus ridership rises immediately 1

But:Service was expanded at the same time

Answered:Routes outside the zone got the buses too, and did not move 1

Under dispute

Rail ridership barely moved 1

contested

Open

No usable figure for cycling

2 claims: 1 contested · 1 untested

Nothing has survived critique yet.

1 dispute · 1 untested

Under dispute

A trial before the vote is what makes it survivable 1

contested

But:Four cities is not a pattern

Not yet tested

Support rises after the scheme starts, not before 1

untested